Modesto, CA

Business Ideas & Market Opportunities

The Modesto market is currently outpacing the national growth rate. Our analysis identifies 68 active sectors where local supply has not yet met the demand indicated by the national baseline.

Active Local Businesses

12,547

Total Competition Pool

Market Size

552K

Total Metro Population

5-Year Growth Rate

+11.1%

🔥 Outpacing US(+0.1% avg)

Underserved Sectors

107

Niches with LQ < 0.8

Analyst Tip

Viewing all opportunities. Use the View Mode toggle above to filter by business model, or search to find specific niches.

Showing 20 of 211 opportunities

Mobile Food Services

Growth
+216.7%
Scale
$71K PAY
Saturation
2.62
38 establishments

General Freight Trucking, Local

Growth
+166.7%
Scale
$200K PAY
Saturation
3.95
216 establishments

General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance, Truckload

Growth
+120.0%
Scale
$355K PAY
Saturation
2.03
143 establishments

General Medical and Surgical Hospitals

Growth
+114.3%
Scale
$49.3M PAY
Saturation
3.02
15 establishments

Home Health Care Services

Growth
+114.3%
Scale
$2.0M PAY
Saturation
0.92
45 establishments

All Other Consumer Goods Rental

Growth
+100.0%
Scale
$154K PAY
Saturation
1.03
46 establishments

Other Support Activities for Road Transportation

Growth
+100.0%
Scale
$645K PAY
Saturation
4.53
18 establishments

Farm Management Services

Growth
+100.0%
Scale
$329K PAY
Saturation
23.72
10 establishments

Coin-Operated Laundries and Drycleaners

Growth
+100.0%
Scale
$44K PAY
Saturation
0.95
12 establishments

Other Miscellaneous Durable Goods Merchant Wholesalers

Growth
+100.0%
Scale
$1.0M PAY
Saturation
1.03
12 establishments

Administrative Management and General Management Consulting Services

Growth
+93.3%
Scale
$439K PAY
Saturation
0.45
58 establishments

Used Household and Office Goods Moving

Growth
+92.3%
Scale
$216K PAY
Saturation
2.23
25 establishments

Tobacco Stores

Growth
+87.9%
Scale
$55K PAY
Saturation
2.48
62 establishments

Sheet Metal Work Manufacturing

Growth
+85.7%
Scale
$665K PAY
Saturation
2.57
13 establishments

Private Mail Centers

Growth
+85.7%
Scale
$156K PAY
Saturation
1.44
13 establishments

Offices of Mental Health Practitioners (except Physicians)

Growth
+83.3%
Scale
$374K PAY
Saturation
0.57
33 establishments

Other Gasoline Stations

Growth
+76.9%
Scale
$384K PAY
Saturation
1.64
23 establishments

Caterers

Growth
+75.0%
Scale
$235K PAY
Saturation
1.33
21 establishments

Framing Contractors

Growth
+75.0%
Scale
$1.9M PAY
Saturation
1.48
21 establishments

General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance, Less Than Truckload

Growth
+75.0%
Scale
$1.0M PAY
Saturation
1.67
21 establishments

Analyst Insights & Due Diligence

Administrative data provides the map, but not the terrain. We recommend three specific validation steps for Modesto:

1

Demographic Fit

Does the local population age or income level explain the "Supply Gaps"? (e.g., A gap in luxury services may be due to lower local income).

2

Regulatory Check

Verify local licensing requirements. High barriers to entry often protect "High Yield" sectors from new competition.

3

Competitor Health

Investigate the "Momentum" sectors. Are existing businesses thriving, or is the growth due to high turnover and failure rates?